GGOALVIO

England · EFL Trophy · 9/24/2024, 6:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Tottenham Hotspur U21 · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-2

Highconfidence

Exeter City are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WLWWL), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Tottenham Hotspur U21 are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (DLLLW), averaging 2.20 scored and 2.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Tottenham Hotspur U21 hold a 23.3-point power-rating edge (17.9 v 41.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 46.4% in the EFL Trophy, while Tottenham Hotspur U21 holds the strongest overall chance at 46% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 74% BTTS chance and 75% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Tottenham Hotspur U21

Probability

46.4%

Model confidence

46.4%

Tottenham Hotspur U21 has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Exeter CityWLWWL

GF 8 · GA 5 · avg 1.60/1.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Tottenham Hotspur U21DLLLW

GF 11 · GA 12 · avg 2.20/2.40

BTTS 4/5O2.5 5/5
Exeter CityTottenham Hotspur U21
11.1Attack77.8
0.0Defence22.2
33.3Form33.3
17.9Power41.2
1.75xG2.26
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