Exeter Cityvs
Swindon Town
COMPLETEDEngland · EFL Trophy · 9/3/2024, 6:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Exeter City · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Exeter City are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WLLDW), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Swindon Town are 0W-2D-3L in their last 5 (LDLLD), averaging 0.80 scored and 2.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and the power ratings are near level at 17.9 against 18.5. Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 42.8% in the EFL Trophy, while Exeter City holds the strongest overall chance at 43% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 69% BTTS chance and 68% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Exeter City
Probability
42.8%
Model confidence
42.8%
Exeter City has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 5 · avg 1.20/1.00
GF 4 · GA 11 · avg 0.80/2.20