Exeter Cityvs
Reading
COMPLETEDEngland · EFL Trophy · 9/19/2023, 6:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Reading · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-2
Exeter City are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WLWDW), averaging 1.20 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Reading are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WLDLW), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Reading hold a 59.7-point power-rating edge (17.9 v 77.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 70.0% in the EFL Trophy, while Reading holds the strongest overall chance at 70% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 63% BTTS chance and 74% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Reading
Probability
70.0%
Model confidence
70.0%
Reading has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 4 · avg 1.20/0.80
GF 7 · GA 6 · avg 1.40/1.20