Exeter CityvsCrawley Town

Exeter City are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (WLWLL), averaging 1.60 scored and 2.40 conceded, while Crawley Town are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WWLWW), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 9 passed 2.5 goals, and Crawley Town hold a 40.8-point power-rating edge (15.3 v 56.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 37.9% in the League Cup, while Crawley Town holds the strongest overall chance at 38% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 54% BTTS chance and 48% for over 2.5 goals.