Exeter Cityvs
Birmingham
COMPLETEDEngland · EFL Trophy · 12/10/2024, 7:45:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Birmingham · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 0-3
Exeter City are 0W-2D-3L in their last 5 (LDLLD), averaging 0.40 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Birmingham are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WWWLD), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Birmingham hold a 56.7-point power-rating edge (17.9 v 74.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-3 the most likely exact scoreline at 75.9% in the EFL Trophy, while Birmingham holds the strongest overall chance at 76% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 57% BTTS chance and 73% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Birmingham
Probability
75.9%
Model confidence
75.9%
Birmingham has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 2 · GA 9 · avg 0.40/1.80
GF 9 · GA 5 · avg 1.80/1.00