Exeter Cityvs
Arsenal U21
COMPLETEDEngland · EFL Trophy · 10/28/2025, 7:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Arsenal U21 · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-2
Exeter City are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WLDWL), averaging 0.80 scored and 0.60 conceded, while Arsenal U21 are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WWLLD), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Arsenal U21 hold a 21.8-point power-rating edge (17.9 v 39.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 44.7% in the EFL Trophy, while Arsenal U21 holds the strongest overall chance at 45% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 77% BTTS chance and 78% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Arsenal U21
Probability
44.7%
Model confidence
44.7%
Arsenal U21 has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 3 · avg 0.80/0.60
GF 6 · GA 8 · avg 1.20/1.60