GGOALVIO

England · EFL Trophy · 10/28/2025, 7:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Arsenal U21 · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-2

Highconfidence

Exeter City are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WLDWL), averaging 0.80 scored and 0.60 conceded, while Arsenal U21 are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WWLLD), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Arsenal U21 hold a 21.8-point power-rating edge (17.9 v 39.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 44.7% in the EFL Trophy, while Arsenal U21 holds the strongest overall chance at 45% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 77% BTTS chance and 78% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Arsenal U21

Probability

44.7%

Model confidence

44.7%

Arsenal U21 has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Exeter CityWLDWL

GF 4 · GA 3 · avg 0.80/0.60

BTTS 1/5O2.5 0/5
Arsenal U21WWLLD

GF 6 · GA 8 · avg 1.20/1.60

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
Exeter CityArsenal U21
11.1Attack75.0
0.0Defence16.7
33.3Form33.3
17.9Power39.7
1.89xG2.31
View match centre →