ExcursionistasvsDefensores Unidos

Excursionistas are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (DWWLL), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Defensores Unidos are 0W-3D-2L in their last 5 (DLDLD), averaging 0.20 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Excursionistas hold a 20.7-point power-rating edge (62.2 v 41.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 24.8% in the Primera B Metropolitana, while Excursionistas holds the strongest overall chance at 60% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 21% BTTS chance and 22% for over 2.5 goals.