GGOALVIO

Argentina · Primera B Metropolitana · 8/25/2026, 8:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Excursionistas · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Excursionistas are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (LWDDW), averaging 1.00 scored and 0.60 conceded, while Argentino de Merlo are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (WLLDL), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Excursionistas hold a 12.6-point power-rating edge (62.2 v 49.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 24.6% in the Primera B Metropolitana, while Excursionistas holds the strongest overall chance at 50% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 23% BTTS chance and 18% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Excursionistas

Probability

49.9%

Model confidence

24.6%

Excursionistas has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

ExcursionistasLWDDW

GF 5 · GA 3 · avg 1.00/0.60

BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
Argentino de MerloWLLDL

GF 5 · GA 8 · avg 1.00/1.60

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
ExcursionistasArgentino de Merlo
46.0Attack33.3
77.0Defence66.7
60.9Form43.7
62.2Power49.6
1.04xG0.41
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