GGOALVIO

Netherlands · Eredivisie Women · 10/6/2023, 5:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Twente W · BTTS No · Over 2.5 · 0-4

Highconfidence

Excelsior W are 0W-1D-2L in their last 3 (LLD), averaging 0.67 scored and 3.00 conceded, while Twente W are 4W-0D-0L in their last 4 (WWWW), averaging 4.75 scored and 0.75 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 7 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Twente W hold a 52.3-point power-rating edge (25.9 v 78.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-4 the most likely exact scoreline at 91.9% in the Eredivisie Women, while Twente W holds the strongest overall chance at 92% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 42% BTTS chance and 82% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Twente W

Probability

91.9%

Model confidence

91.9%

Twente W has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Excelsior WLLD

GF 2 · GA 9 · avg 0.67/3.00

BTTS 2/3O2.5 2/3
Twente WWWWW

GF 19 · GA 3 · avg 4.75/0.75

BTTS 2/4O2.5 4/4
Excelsior WTwente W
30.3Attack84.8
19.7Defence68.2
16.7Form84.8
25.9Power78.2
0.55xG4.39
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