ExcelsiorvsSparta Rotterdam

Excelsior are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (LWWWW), averaging 3.60 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Sparta Rotterdam are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (WLDDL), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Excelsior hold a 6.3-point power-rating edge (62.5 v 56.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 11.9% in the Eredivisie, while Excelsior holds the strongest overall chance at 47% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 61% BTTS chance and 59% for over 2.5 goals.