GGOALVIO

Belgium · First Amateur Division · 9/2/2023, 6:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Excelsior Virton · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Excelsior Virton are 1W-4D-0L in their last 5 (WDDDD), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.00 conceded, while URSL Visé are 1W-0D-1L in their last 2 (LW), averaging 1.50 scored and 0.50 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 7 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Excelsior Virton hold a 9.0-point power-rating edge (47.2 v 38.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 50.0% in the First Amateur Division, while Excelsior Virton holds the strongest overall chance at 50% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 56% BTTS chance and 54% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Excelsior Virton

Probability

50.0%

Model confidence

50.0%

Excelsior Virton has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Excelsior VirtonWDDDD

GF 7 · GA 5 · avg 1.40/1.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
URSL ViséLW

GF 3 · GA 1 · avg 1.50/0.50

BTTS 0/2O2.5 1/2
Excelsior VirtonURSL Visé
46.1Attack38.2
47.1Defence42.2
45.1Form28.4
47.2Power38.2
1.78xG1.08
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