Excelsior Virtonvs
Francs Borains
COMPLETEDBelgium · Challenger Pro League · 8/30/2026, 2:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Excelsior Virton · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (12%), 1-0 (10%), 2-1 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Excelsior Virton 0-1 Francs Borains
Original prediction
Excelsior Virton
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 26 August 2026 at 01:04 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.66 | 34.4% | 43.8% | 9.4 pts |
| Draw | 3.25 | 28.2% | 27.0% | -1.2 pts |
| Away | 2.45 | 37.4% | 29.2% | -8.2 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
9.4 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–112%
- 2.1–010%
- 3.2–110%
Predicted outcome
Excelsior Virton
Probability
43.8%
Model confidence
43.8%
Excelsior Virton has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 4 · avg 1.60/0.80
GF 9 · GA 5 · avg 1.80/1.00