Excelsior Maassluisvs
EVV
COMPLETEDNetherlands · Derde Divisie · 10/24/2026, 12:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Excelsior Maassluis · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 2-1 (10%), 1-0 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Excelsior Maassluis 1-0 EVV
Original prediction
Excelsior Maassluis
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 17 October 2026 at 00:00 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.20-1.40| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.35 | 67.3% | 49.3% | -18.0 pts |
| Draw | 4.95 | 18.3% | 25.1% | 6.8 pts |
| Away | 6.29 | 14.4% | 25.7% | 11.2 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.35 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-18.0 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.2–110%
- 3.1–09%
Predicted outcome
Excelsior Maassluis
Probability
49.3%
Model confidence
49.3%
Excelsior Maassluis has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 11 · GA 4 · avg 2.20/0.80
GF 7 · GA 8 · avg 1.40/1.60