GGOALVIO

Netherlands · Tweede Divisie · 9/2/2023, 12:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Almere City II · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Excelsior Maassluis are 1W-1D-2L in their last 4 (DLWL), averaging 1.50 scored and 1.75 conceded, while Almere City II are 0W-0D-2L in their last 2 (LL), averaging 0.50 scored and 2.50 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 6 games and 2 passed 2.5 goals, and Almere City II hold a 53.1-point power-rating edge (43.9 v 97.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 49.5% in the Tweede Divisie, while Almere City II holds the strongest overall chance at 50% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 64% BTTS chance and 63% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Almere City II

Probability

49.5%

Model confidence

49.5%

Almere City II has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Excelsior MaassluisDLWL

GF 6 · GA 7 · avg 1.50/1.75

BTTS 2/4O2.5 1/4
Almere City IILL

GF 1 · GA 5 · avg 0.50/2.50

BTTS 1/2O2.5 1/2
Excelsior MaassluisAlmere City II
45.8Attack100.0
45.0Defence100.0
38.3Form100.0
43.9Power97.0
1.31xG1.99
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