GGOALVIO

EVV logoEVVvsRoosendaal logoRoosendaal

COMPLETED

Netherlands · Derde Divisie · 10/18/2026, 12:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

EVV · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5

Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 2-1 (9%), 1-2 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.

Prediction record

Final result

EVV 3-3 Roosendaal

Original prediction

EVV

Outcome

Incorrect

Prediction record created 17 October 2026 at 00:00 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.

Value and market comparison

Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50
MarketOddsImplied probabilityModel probabilityDifference
Home2.7432.8%36.6%3.8 pts
Draw3.7923.6%27.0%3.4 pts
Away2.0643.6%36.4%-7.2 pts

Historical EV

1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.79 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -

Value score

3.8 pts

Most Likely Scores

  1. 1.1–113%
  2. 2.2–19%
  3. 3.1–28%

Predicted outcome

EVV

Probability

36.6%

Model confidence

36.6%

EVV has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

EVVLLDWD

GF 5 · GA 6 · avg 1.00/1.20

BTTS 3/5O2.5 1/5
RoosendaalLLWLL

GF 9 · GA 16 · avg 1.80/3.20

BTTS 4/5O2.5 5/5
EVVRoosendaal
33.3Attack50.0
66.7Defence50.0
33.3Form50.0
45.3Power50.0
1.53xG1.36
View match centre →