GGOALVIO

England · Non League Premier - Southern South · 12/27/2025, 3:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Yate Town · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Evesham United are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LWLLD), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Yate Town are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LLLWW), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Yate Town hold a 24.2-point power-rating edge (40.7 v 64.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 36.8% in the Non League Premier - Southern South, while Yate Town holds the strongest overall chance at 37% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 63% BTTS chance and 60% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Yate Town

Probability

36.8%

Model confidence

36.8%

Yate Town has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Evesham UnitedLWLLD

GF 4 · GA 6 · avg 0.80/1.20

BTTS 1/5O2.5 2/5
Yate TownLLLWW

GF 7 · GA 6 · avg 1.40/1.20

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Evesham UnitedYate Town
66.7Attack33.3
0.0Defence83.3
50.0Form66.7
40.7Power64.8
1.52xG1.59
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