GGOALVIO

England · Non League Premier - Southern South · 10/11/2025, 2:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Evesham United · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Evesham United are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LWDWL), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Tiverton Town are 0W-1D-4L in their last 5 (LLLDL), averaging 1.20 scored and 2.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 9 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Tiverton Town hold a 5.4-point power-rating edge (40.7 v 46.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 44.7% in the Non League Premier - Southern South, while Evesham United holds the strongest overall chance at 45% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 70% BTTS chance and 70% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Evesham United

Probability

44.7%

Model confidence

44.7%

Evesham United has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Evesham UnitedLWDWL

GF 7 · GA 8 · avg 1.40/1.60

BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
Tiverton TownLLLDL

GF 6 · GA 13 · avg 1.20/2.60

BTTS 5/5O2.5 4/5
Evesham UnitedTiverton Town
66.7Attack50.8
0.0Defence41.3
50.0Form41.3
40.7Power46.1
2.05xG1.62
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