GGOALVIO

England · Non League Premier - Southern South · 12/5/2026, 3:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Evesham United · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Evesham United are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WLWDL), averaging 1.60 scored and 2.00 conceded, while Poole Town are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LLWWD), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Evesham United hold an 18.0-point power-rating edge (58.3 v 40.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 50.2% in the Non League Premier - Southern South, while Evesham United holds the strongest overall chance at 50% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 62% BTTS chance and 61% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Evesham United

Probability

50.2%

Model confidence

50.2%

Evesham United has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Evesham UnitedWLWDL

GF 8 · GA 10 · avg 1.60/2.00

BTTS 2/5O2.5 4/5
Poole TownLLWWD

GF 5 · GA 5 · avg 1.00/1.00

BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
Evesham UnitedPoole Town
77.8Attack22.2
33.3Defence55.6
66.7Form33.3
58.3Power40.3
1.95xG1.24
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