GGOALVIO

England · Non League Premier - Southern South · 4/3/2026, 2:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Evesham United · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Evesham United are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (WLLDD), averaging 1.20 scored and 2.40 conceded, while Poole Town are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (DDLWD), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Poole Town hold a 12.3-point power-rating edge (40.7 v 53.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 36.9% in the Non League Premier - Southern South, while Evesham United holds the strongest overall chance at 37% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 64% BTTS chance and 60% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Evesham United

Probability

36.9%

Model confidence

36.9%

Evesham United has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Evesham UnitedWLLDD

GF 6 · GA 12 · avg 1.20/2.40

BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
Poole TownDDLWD

GF 5 · GA 5 · avg 1.00/1.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
Evesham UnitedPoole Town
66.7Attack33.3
0.0Defence66.7
50.0Form50.0
40.7Power53.0
1.61xG1.53
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