GGOALVIO

England · Non League Premier - Southern South · 11/22/2025, 3:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Evesham United · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Evesham United are 0W-1D-4L in their last 5 (DLLLL), averaging 1.00 scored and 2.40 conceded, while Dorchester Town are 0W-4D-1L in their last 5 (DLDDD), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Dorchester Town hold a 7.7-point power-rating edge (40.7 v 48.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 44.7% in the Non League Premier - Southern South, while Evesham United holds the strongest overall chance at 45% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 72% BTTS chance and 72% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Evesham United

Probability

44.7%

Model confidence

44.7%

Evesham United has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Evesham UnitedDLLLL

GF 5 · GA 12 · avg 1.00/2.40

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
Dorchester TownDLDDD

GF 5 · GA 7 · avg 1.00/1.40

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
Evesham UnitedDorchester Town
66.7Attack52.4
0.0Defence38.9
50.0Form47.6
40.7Power48.3
2.11xG1.68
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