Everton Wvs
Newcastle United W
COMPLETEDEngland · WSL Cup · 10/21/2026, 6:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Everton W · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-1 (10%), 1-1 (10%), 2-0 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Everton W 2-0 Newcastle United W
Original prediction
Everton W
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 21 September 2026 at 09:31 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.50 | 35.7% | 46.4% | 10.7 pts |
| Draw | 3.33 | 26.9% | 25.4% | -1.4 pts |
| Away | 2.39 | 37.4% | 28.2% | -9.3 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.50 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
10.7 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–110%
- 2.1–110%
- 3.2–09%
Predicted outcome
Everton W
Probability
46.4%
Model confidence
46.4%
Everton W has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 5 · avg 1.20/1.00
GF 12 · GA 5 · avg 2.40/1.00