Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Everton W · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-1 (10%), 1-1 (9%), 2-0 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction details
Prediction record created 12 October 2026 at 00:14 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–110%
- 2.1–19%
- 3.2–08%
Predicted outcome
Everton W
Probability
49.6%
Model confidence
49.6%
Everton W has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
Everton WWLWWW
GF 6 · GA 3 · avg 1.20/0.60
BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
Durham WLLLLL
GF 5 · GA 18 · avg 1.00/3.60
BTTS 4/5O2.5 5/5
Everton WDurham W
66.7Attack33.3
100.0Defence0.0
100.0Form0.0
88.7Power15.3
2.39xG1.25