Everton Wvs
Charlton Athletic W
COMPLETEDEngland · FA WSL · 9/13/2026, 1:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Everton W · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (12%), 2-1 (10%), 1-0 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Everton W 1-0 Charlton Athletic W
Original prediction
Everton W
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 30 August 2026 at 00:03 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.44 | 63.0% | 47.5% | -15.5 pts |
| Draw | 4.17 | 21.8% | 25.9% | 4.1 pts |
| Away | 5.95 | 15.3% | 26.7% | 11.4 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.44 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-15.5 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–112%
- 2.2–110%
- 3.1–08%
Predicted outcome
Everton W
Probability
47.5%
Model confidence
47.5%
Everton W has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 9 · avg 0.80/1.80
GF 4 · GA 11 · avg 0.80/2.20