Everton Wvs
Aston Villa W
COMPLETEDEngland · FA WSL · 10/25/2026, 2:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Everton W · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 1-0 (13%), 2-0 (11%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Everton W 2-3 Aston Villa W
Original prediction
Everton W
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 4 October 2026 at 00:45 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.16 | 42.4% | 46.7% | 4.3 pts |
| Draw | 3.27 | 28.0% | 27.1% | -0.9 pts |
| Away | 3.10 | 29.6% | 26.2% | -3.4 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
4.3 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.1–013%
- 3.2–011%
Predicted outcome
Everton W
Probability
46.7%
Model confidence
46.7%
Everton W has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 5 · avg 1.40/1.00
GF 8 · GA 7 · avg 1.60/1.40