Everton U21vs
Southampton U21
COMPLETEDEngland · Premier League 2 Division One · 8/28/2026, 6:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Everton U21 · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 2-1 (9%), 1-0 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Everton U21 1-2 Southampton U21
Original prediction
Everton U21
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 26 August 2026 at 00:51 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.36 | 38.2% | 38.3% | 0.1 pts |
| Draw | 3.70 | 24.3% | 27.5% | 3.2 pts |
| Away | 2.41 | 37.4% | 34.2% | -3.2 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
0.1 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.2–19%
- 3.1–09%
Predicted outcome
Everton U21
Probability
38.3%
Model confidence
38.3%
Everton U21 has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 9 · avg 1.80/1.80
GF 13 · GA 9 · avg 2.60/1.80