Everton U21vs
Middlesbrough U21
COMPLETEDEngland · Premier League 2 Division One · 10/16/2026, 6:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Everton U21 · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (10%), 2-1 (10%), 3-1 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Everton U21 2-1 Middlesbrough U21
Original prediction
Everton U21
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 16 September 2026 at 19:00 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.18 | 41.5% | 47.5% | 5.9 pts |
| Draw | 3.83 | 23.6% | 23.6% | -0.1 pts |
| Away | 2.59 | 34.9% | 29.0% | -5.9 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.18 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
5.9 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–110%
- 2.2–110%
- 3.3–17%
Predicted outcome
Everton U21
Probability
47.5%
Model confidence
47.5%
Everton U21 has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 5 · avg 0.80/1.00
GF 9 · GA 10 · avg 1.80/2.00