GGOALVIO

Argentina · Torneo Promocional Amateur · 5/4/2024, 6:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Everton La Plata · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0

Highconfidence

Everton La Plata are 0W-3D-2L in their last 5 (DDDLL), averaging 0.20 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Provincial are 0W-5D-0L in their last 5 (DDDDD), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Everton La Plata hold a 13.3-point power-rating edge (40.0 v 26.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 50.7% in the Torneo Promocional Amateur, while Everton La Plata holds the strongest overall chance at 51% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 23% BTTS chance and 20% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Everton La Plata

Probability

50.7%

Model confidence

50.7%

Everton La Plata has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Everton La PlataDDDLL

GF 1 · GA 9 · avg 0.20/1.80

BTTS 1/5O2.5 2/5
ProvincialDDDDD

GF 5 · GA 5 · avg 1.00/1.00

BTTS 4/5O2.5 1/5
Everton La PlataProvincial
16.7Attack23.3
69.4Defence26.7
25.0Form23.3
40.0Power26.7
1.14xG0.39
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