GGOALVIO

Argentina · Torneo Promocional Amateur · 9/8/2024, 6:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Everton La Plata are 0W-2D-3L in their last 5 (LLDLD), averaging 0.40 scored and 2.00 conceded, while Nautico Hacoaj are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (WWDDW), averaging 1.60 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Nautico Hacoaj hold an 18.9-point power-rating edge (40.0 v 58.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 55.0% in the Torneo Promocional Amateur, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 55% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 14% BTTS chance and 7% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

55.0%

Model confidence

55.0%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Everton La PlataLLDLD

GF 2 · GA 10 · avg 0.40/2.00

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Nautico HacoajWWDDW

GF 8 · GA 3 · avg 1.60/0.60

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
Everton La PlataNautico Hacoaj
16.7Attack33.3
69.4Defence84.8
25.0Form54.5
40.0Power58.9
0.35xG0.59
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