GGOALVIO

Argentina · Torneo Promocional Amateur · 8/11/2024, 6:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Everton La Plata are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DDLWW), averaging 1.60 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Ezeiza are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WLWWW), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Ezeiza hold a 4.1-point power-rating edge (40.0 v 44.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 51.1% in the Torneo Promocional Amateur, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 51% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 19% BTTS chance and 10% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

51.1%

Model confidence

51.1%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Everton La PlataDDLWW

GF 8 · GA 4 · avg 1.60/0.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
EzeizaWLWWW

GF 9 · GA 5 · avg 1.80/1.00

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Everton La PlataEzeiza
16.7Attack27.3
69.4Defence57.6
25.0Form39.4
40.0Power44.1
0.64xG0.47
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