GGOALVIO

Argentina · Torneo Promocional Amateur · 9/22/2024, 7:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Everton La Plata are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WWLLD), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Estrella de Berisso are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LLWWD), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Estrella de Berisso hold a 10.2-point power-rating edge (40.0 v 50.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 46.3% in the Torneo Promocional Amateur, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 46% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 25% BTTS chance and 15% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

46.3%

Model confidence

46.3%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Everton La PlataWWLLD

GF 4 · GA 8 · avg 0.80/1.60

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
Estrella de BerissoLLWWD

GF 7 · GA 5 · avg 1.40/1.00

BTTS 1/5O2.5 2/5
Everton La PlataEstrella de Berisso
16.7Attack43.3
69.4Defence60.0
25.0Form46.7
40.0Power50.2
0.59xG0.75
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