GGOALVIO

Argentina · Torneo Promocional Amateur · 8/4/2024, 6:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Deportivo Metalurgico · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Everton La Plata are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (DLWWL), averaging 1.40 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Deportivo Metalurgico are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (WWLLL), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 2 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Deportivo Metalurgico hold a 30.3-point power-rating edge (40.0 v 70.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 49.5% in the Torneo Promocional Amateur, while Deportivo Metalurgico holds the strongest overall chance at 50% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 20% BTTS chance and 17% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Deportivo Metalurgico

Probability

49.5%

Model confidence

49.5%

Deportivo Metalurgico has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Everton La PlataDLWWL

GF 7 · GA 4 · avg 1.40/0.80

BTTS 1/5O2.5 2/5
Deportivo MetalurgicoWWLLL

GF 6 · GA 6 · avg 1.20/1.20

BTTS 1/5O2.5 2/5
Everton La PlataDeportivo Metalurgico
16.7Attack57.6
69.4Defence78.8
25.0Form75.8
40.0Power70.3
0.34xG1.06
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