GGOALVIO

Argentina · Torneo Promocional Amateur · 3/23/2024, 4:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Everton La Plata are 3W-0D-1L in their last 4 (WLWW), averaging 1.75 scored and 0.75 conceded, while Barrancas UMET are 1W-2D-1L in their last 4 (WLDD), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.25 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 8 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Barrancas UMET hold a 24.6-point power-rating edge (40.0 v 64.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 53.1% in the Torneo Promocional Amateur, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 53% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 15% BTTS chance and 8% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

53.1%

Model confidence

53.1%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Everton La PlataWLWW

GF 7 · GA 3 · avg 1.75/0.75

BTTS 2/4O2.5 2/4
Barrancas UMETWLDD

GF 4 · GA 5 · avg 1.00/1.25

BTTS 2/4O2.5 1/4
Everton La PlataBarrancas UMET
16.7Attack35.9
69.4Defence82.1
25.0Form69.2
40.0Power64.6
0.34xG0.65
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