GGOALVIO

Argentina · Torneo Promocional Amateur · 4/21/2024, 6:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Everton La Plata are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (DLLDW), averaging 1.00 scored and 2.20 conceded, while Atletico Pilar are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (WWDWD), averaging 1.80 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Everton La Plata hold a 10.5-point power-rating edge (40.0 v 29.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 43.2% in the Torneo Promocional Amateur, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 43% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 23% BTTS chance and 16% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

43.2%

Model confidence

43.2%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Everton La PlataDLLDW

GF 5 · GA 11 · avg 1.00/2.20

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Atletico PilarWWDWD

GF 9 · GA 4 · avg 1.80/0.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Everton La PlataAtletico Pilar
16.7Attack26.7
69.4Defence40.0
25.0Form16.7
40.0Power29.5
0.95xG0.43
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