Everton La PlatavsAlumni Los Hornos

Everton La Plata are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (WDLDW), averaging 1.20 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Alumni Los Hornos are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (LLDDW), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Alumni Los Hornos hold a 4.6-point power-rating edge (40.0 v 44.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 28.0% in the Torneo Promocional Amateur, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 42% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 24% BTTS chance and 15% for over 2.5 goals.