Everton de Vinavs
Union La Calera
COMPLETEDWorld · CONMEBOL Sudamericana · 3/6/2024, 10:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
Everton de Vina are 0W-1D-4L in their last 5 (LDLLL), averaging 0.60 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Union La Calera are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (LWLWW), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Union La Calera hold a 15.6-point power-rating edge (23.7 v 39.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 40.8% in the CONMEBOL Sudamericana, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 41% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 34% BTTS chance and 24% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
40.8%
Model confidence
40.8%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 3 · GA 8 · avg 0.60/1.60
GF 8 · GA 7 · avg 1.60/1.40