Everton de Vinavs
U. Catolica
COMPLETEDChile · Primera División · 9/5/2026, 9:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
U. Catolica · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (12%), 1-2 (9%), 2-1 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Everton de Vina 0-1 U. Catolica
Original prediction
U. Catolica
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:22 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.69 | 34.4% | 37.1% | 2.8 pts |
| Draw | 3.41 | 27.2% | 23.7% | -3.4 pts |
| Away | 2.40 | 38.5% | 39.1% | 0.7 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.40 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
0.7 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–112%
- 2.1–29%
- 3.2–18%
Predicted outcome
U. Catolica
Probability
39.1%
Model confidence
39.1%
U. Catolica has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 14 · GA 7 · avg 2.80/1.40
GF 7 · GA 9 · avg 1.40/1.80