Everton de Vinavs
D. La Serena
COMPLETEDChile · Primera División · 10/11/2026, 3:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Everton de Vina · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (12%), 1-0 (10%), 2-1 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Everton de Vina 3-2 D. La Serena
Original prediction
Everton de Vina
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 14 September 2026 at 16:50 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.72 | 53.7% | 54.2% | 0.5 pts |
| Draw | 3.78 | 24.4% | 23.5% | -0.9 pts |
| Away | 4.20 | 21.9% | 22.3% | 0.4 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.72 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
0.5 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–112%
- 2.1–010%
- 3.2–110%
Predicted outcome
Everton de Vina
Probability
54.2%
Model confidence
54.2%
Everton de Vina has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 5 · avg 0.80/1.00
GF 8 · GA 7 · avg 1.60/1.40