Europa Fcvs
Rayo Majadahonda
COMPLETEDSpain · Primera División RFEF - Group 2 · 9/27/2026, 2:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Europa Fc · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (15%), 0-0 (14%), 1-0 (12%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Europa Fc 1-0 Rayo Majadahonda
Original prediction
Europa Fc
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 6 September 2026 at 04:55 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.04 | 44.4% | 38.3% | -6.0 pts |
| Draw | 3.12 | 29.0% | 30.3% | 1.2 pts |
| Away | 3.40 | 26.6% | 31.4% | 4.8 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.04 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-6.0 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–115%
- 2.0–014%
- 3.1–012%
Predicted outcome
Europa Fc
Probability
38.3%
Model confidence
38.3%
Europa Fc has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 2 · GA 7 · avg 0.40/1.40
GF 6 · GA 5 · avg 1.20/1.00