ETSV Hamburgvs
Niendorfer TSV
COMPLETEDGermany · Oberliga - Hamburg · 10/9/2026, 5:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
ETSV Hamburg · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 3-1 (7%), 3-2 (7%), 4-1 (6%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
ETSV Hamburg 4-6 Niendorfer TSV
Original prediction
ETSV Hamburg
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 9 September 2026 at 00:17 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.85 | 48.8% | 48.8% | 0.1 pts |
| Draw | 4.30 | 21.0% | 23.4% | 2.4 pts |
| Away | 2.98 | 30.3% | 27.8% | -2.5 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
0.1 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.3–17%
- 2.3–27%
- 3.4–16%
Predicted outcome
ETSV Hamburg
Probability
48.8%
Model confidence
48.8%
ETSV Hamburg has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 11 · GA 12 · avg 2.20/2.40
GF 8 · GA 7 · avg 1.60/1.40