Etoile de l'Estvs
Gicumbi
COMPLETEDRwanda · National Soccer League · 9/15/2026, 1:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Etoile de l'Est 0-0 Gicumbi, with an exact score probability of 18%.
Prediction record
Final result
Etoile de l'Est 1-2 Gicumbi
Original prediction
Draw
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 6 September 2026 at 04:48 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.41 | 36.8% | 33.5% | -3.3 pts |
| Draw | 2.84 | 31.2% | 31.3% | 0.1 pts |
| Away | 2.77 | 32.0% | 35.2% | 3.2 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
0.1 pts
Projected Score
Etoile de l'Est 0–0 Gicumbi
Exact score probability: 18%
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
31.3%
Model confidence
35.2%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
Etoile de l'EstD
GF 0 · GA 0 · avg 0.00/0.00
BTTS 0/1O2.5 0/1
GicumbiWW
GF 3 · GA 1 · avg 1.50/0.50
BTTS 1/2O2.5 1/2
Etoile de l'EstGicumbi
0.0Attack66.7
100.0Defence66.7
33.3Form100.0
45.3Power80.3
0.85xG0.97