Etincellesvs
Musanze
COMPLETEDRwanda · National Soccer League · 9/15/2026, 1:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Etincelles 0-0 Musanze, with an exact score probability of 17%.
Prediction record
Final result
Etincelles 1-0 Musanze
Original prediction
Draw
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 6 September 2026 at 04:48 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.49 | 35.9% | 36.4% | 0.4 pts |
| Draw | 2.94 | 30.5% | 31.1% | 0.6 pts |
| Away | 2.67 | 33.6% | 32.5% | -1.0 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
0.6 pts
Projected Score
Etincelles 0–0 Musanze
Exact score probability: 17%
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
31.1%
Model confidence
36.4%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
EtincellesW
GF 1 · GA 0 · avg 1.00/0.00
BTTS 0/1O2.5 0/1
MusanzeW
GF 1 · GA 0 · avg 1.00/0.00
BTTS 0/1O2.5 0/1
EtincellesMusanze
50.0Attack50.0
50.0Defence50.0
50.0Form50.0
50.0Power50.0
1.00xG0.85