GGOALVIO

Cyprus · 1. Division · 9/2/2023, 5:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Ethnikos Achna · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1

Highconfidence

Ethnikos Achna are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (DLWWW), averaging 3.40 scored and 2.00 conceded, while Othellos are 0W-2D-2L in their last 4 (LDLD), averaging 0.50 scored and 1.50 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 9 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Ethnikos Achna hold a 9.6-point power-rating edge (45.8 v 36.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 57.1% in the 1. Division, while Ethnikos Achna holds the strongest overall chance at 57% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 69% BTTS chance and 73% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Ethnikos Achna

Probability

57.1%

Model confidence

57.1%

Ethnikos Achna has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Ethnikos AchnaDLWWW

GF 17 · GA 10 · avg 3.40/2.00

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
OthellosLDLD

GF 2 · GA 6 · avg 0.50/1.50

BTTS 2/4O2.5 0/4
Ethnikos AchnaOthellos
58.3Attack40.0
34.2Defence35.8
41.7Form27.5
45.8Power36.2
2.48xG1.40
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