Ethnikos Achnavs
APEA
COMPLETEDCyprus · 2. Division · 10/17/2026, 12:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Ethnikos Achna · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (12%), 1-0 (11%), 2-0 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Ethnikos Achna 0-1 APEA
Original prediction
Ethnikos Achna
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 20 September 2026 at 19:58 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.71 | 54.1% | 50.5% | -3.7 pts |
| Draw | 3.65 | 25.4% | 25.7% | 0.3 pts |
| Away | 4.54 | 20.4% | 23.8% | 3.4 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-3.7 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–112%
- 2.1–011%
- 3.2–010%
Predicted outcome
Ethnikos Achna
Probability
50.5%
Model confidence
50.5%
Ethnikos Achna has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 13 · GA 8 · avg 2.60/1.60
GF 8 · GA 4 · avg 1.60/0.80