Ethiopian Medhinvs
Mekelakeya
COMPLETEDEthiopia · Premier League · 10/27/2026, 12:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Ethiopian Medhin 0-0 Mekelakeya, with an exact score probability of 21%.
Prediction record
Final result
Ethiopian Medhin 1-3 Mekelakeya
Original prediction
Draw
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 7 October 2026 at 22:47 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 3.07 | 29.3% | 36.4% | 7.2 pts |
| Draw | 2.69 | 33.4% | 32.4% | -1.0 pts |
| Away | 2.41 | 37.4% | 31.2% | -6.2 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-1.0 pts
Projected Score
Ethiopian Medhin 0–0 Mekelakeya
Exact score probability: 21%
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
32.4%
Model confidence
36.4%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
Ethiopian MedhinDWLWD
GF 5 · GA 3 · avg 1.00/0.60
BTTS 2/5O2.5 0/5
MekelakeyaWLWWL
GF 3 · GA 4 · avg 0.60/0.80
BTTS 0/5O2.5 1/5
Ethiopian MedhinMekelakeya
50.0Attack22.2
83.3Defence88.9
66.7Form66.7
68.0Power62.6
0.94xG0.68