Ethiopiavs
Mozambique
SCHEDULEDWorld · Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification · 11/15/2026, 5:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (15%), 0-0 (13%), 0-1 (12%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction details
Prediction record created 16 October 2026 at 04:53 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–115%
- 2.0–013%
- 3.0–112%
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
30.0%
Model confidence
35.2%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
EthiopiaLLDWW
GF 3 · GA 3 · avg 0.60/0.60
BTTS 1/5O2.5 0/5
MozambiqueWDLLD
GF 8 · GA 9 · avg 1.60/1.80
BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
EthiopiaMozambique
33.3Attack83.3
83.3Defence66.7
50.0Form66.7
55.9Power71.2
1.05xG1.06