Premier LeaguePremier League
Friday, 3 July 2026Last updated 10:12
Ethiopia Nigd Bank

Ethiopia Nigd Bank

Home
D
22
Full time
Bahardar

Bahardar

Away
D
GoalVio prediction
48% confidence
Ethiopia Nigd Bank(48%)
Most likely exact score1-0
Prediction missed— Result: Draw
Win probability
Ethiopia Nigd Bank
48%
Draw
24%
Bahardar
28%
Predicted winner is based on the highest win probability.
Intelligence snapshot
Attack
Ethiopia Nigd Bank
73
Bahardar
73
Defence
Ethiopia Nigd Bank
27
Bahardar
27
Momentum
Ethiopia Nigd Bank
33
Bahardar
33
Danger (xG)
Ethiopia Nigd Bank
1.80
Bahardar
1.80
Both teams to score
No
Over 2.5 goals
No
xG for (Ethiopia Nigd Bank)
1.80
avg per match
xG for (Bahardar)
1.80
avg per match
xG against (Ethiopia Nigd Bank)
1.80
avg per match
xG against (Bahardar)
1.80
avg per match

Momentum trend

last 5 matches
Ethiopia Nigd BankEthiopia Nigd Bank
DWL
BahardarBahardar
DW

Probability breakdown

48% confidence
Ethiopia Nigd Bank48%
Draw24%
Bahardar28%

Ethiopia Nigd Bank leads with 48% — the model's highest-probability outcome for this fixture.

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Analysis

Match insights

Ethiopia Nigd Bank head into this in Premier League fixture in mixed form (D), while Bahardar arrive in mixed form (D). Ethiopia Nigd Bank have a 0% win rate across their last 1 matches, compared to 0% for Bahardar over 1 games.

Both teams carry genuine attacking threat — Ethiopia Nigd Bank (73/100) and Bahardar (73/100) are both rated highly going forward. The model anticipates an open, goal-heavy contest.

Ethiopia Nigd Bank have won 1 of their last 2 home fixtures, averaging 2.0 goals scored and 1.5 conceded per game at home. Bahardar have won 1 of their last 2 away fixtures, averaging 2.0 goals scored and 1.0 conceded per away game.

The last 1 meetings between these sides have been evenly split, with 1 draw, averaging 4.0 goals per game, both teams scored in 1 of those fixtures.

The GoalVio engine projects Ethiopia Nigd Bank to win with 48% confidence. and a most likely scoreline of 1-0. Win probabilities: Ethiopia Nigd Bank 4791%, Draw 2403%, Bahardar 2806%. BTTS: No, Over 2.5: No.

Head to head

Ethiopia Nigd Bank 0Draws 10 Bahardar
Avg goals: 4.0BTTS in 1/1
3 Jul 2026
Ethiopia Nigd Bank
D22
Bahardar

Recent form

Ethiopia Nigd Bank

Ethiopia Nigd Bank

D
vs Bahardar
3 Jul 2026
22
W
vs Sheger Ketema
15 May 2026
21
L
@ Ethiopian Medhin
11 May 2026
12
Bahardar

Bahardar

D
@ Ethiopia Nigd Bank
3 Jul 2026
22
W
@ Dire Dawa Kenema
15 May 2026
20

Frequently asked questions

Who will win Ethiopia Nigd Bank vs Bahardar?

GoalVio's model predicts Ethiopia Nigd Bank to win with 48% confidence.

What is the predicted score for Ethiopia Nigd Bank vs Bahardar?

The most likely scoreline according to GoalVio's Skellam-DC model is 1-0.

Will both teams score in Ethiopia Nigd Bank vs Bahardar?

GoalVio's model predicts BTTS: No — at least one team is expected to keep a clean sheet.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Ethiopia Nigd Bank vs Bahardar?

GoalVio's model predicts Over 2.5 Goals: No — fewer than 3 goals are expected.

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About this prediction
GoalVio Prediction Engine v5 — updated dailyPowered by Poisson, xG and momentum modelsAccuracy last 30 days: 54%Last model update:
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Responsible gambling: Predictions are generated by a statistical model for informational purposes only. Past accuracy does not guarantee future results. Learn more