Ethiopia Bunnavs
Sheger Ketema
COMPLETEDEthiopia · Premier League · 10/11/2026, 12:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Ethiopia Bunna 0-0 Sheger Ketema, with an exact score probability of 26%.
Prediction record
Final result
Ethiopia Bunna 0-1 Sheger Ketema
Original prediction
Draw
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 7 October 2026 at 22:46 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.62 | 34.4% | 34.7% | 0.3 pts |
| Draw | 2.82 | 32.0% | 33.6% | 1.6 pts |
| Away | 2.68 | 33.6% | 31.7% | -1.9 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
1.6 pts
Projected Score
Ethiopia Bunna 0–0 Sheger Ketema
Exact score probability: 26%
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
33.6%
Model confidence
34.7%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
Ethiopia BunnaLD
GF 0 · GA 1 · avg 0.00/0.50
BTTS 0/2O2.5 0/2
Sheger KetemaNo completed matches
GF 0 · GA 0 · avg 0.00/0.00
BTTS 0/0O2.5 0/0
Ethiopia BunnaSheger Ketema
50.0Attack50.0
50.0Defence50.0
50.0Form50.0
50.0Power50.0
0.76xG0.64