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Saturday, 18 July 202613:00Updated today
Etar Veliko Tarnovo

Etar Veliko Tarnovo

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W
vs
13:00
Yantra 2019

Yantra 2019

Away
DL
GoalVio prediction
Friendly match
Very hard to predict

Friendly match — very hard to predict, not included in accuracy.

Etar Veliko Tarnovo37%
Draw35%
Yantra 201928%
Most likely exact score1-0
Win probability
Etar Veliko Tarnovo
37%
Draw
35%
Yantra 2019
28%
Predicted winner is based on the highest win probability.
Intelligence snapshot
Attack
Etar Veliko Tarnovo
34
Yantra 2019
18
Defence
Etar Veliko Tarnovo
91
Yantra 2019
46
Momentum
Etar Veliko Tarnovo
100
Yantra 2019
17
Danger (xG)
Etar Veliko Tarnovo
0.90
Yantra 2019
0.45
Both teams to score
No

The model projects 2.24 xG for Etar Veliko Tarnovo and 0.67 xG for Yantra 2019. Yantra 2019's projected xG of 0.67 is not sufficient to make scoring a reliable expectation — the model does not see them generating enough high-quality chances to break through.The projected 0-0 scoreline features a clean sheet for one side. With only 0 goal expected in total, the match is projected to be a tight, low-scoring affair where one goal may be enough to decide the contest.Etar Veliko Tarnovo's Defensive Stability Score (91) comfortably exceeds the opposition's Attack Score (18). That structural defensive advantage is the clearest reason the model does not project both teams scoring.

Over 2.5 goals
No

The model projects a combined xG of 2.91 — elevated attacking volume. A combined xG below 2.5 is the model's primary signal that the match is unlikely to produce more than two goals, and this fixture falls below that threshold.The projected 0-0 scoreline stays under the 2.5-goal mark. Only 0 goal is expected in the most likely outcome — the model sees this as a tight, low-scoring contest where one goal could be decisive.The defensive profiles of both sides are stronger than their attacking counterparts — Etar Veliko Tarnovo's Defensive Stability (91) and Yantra 2019's (46) both suggest teams capable of limiting the opposition. When both defences are this organised, the model expects a lower-scoring environment.

xG for (Etar Veliko Tarnovo)
0.90
avg per match
xG for (Yantra 2019)
0.45
avg per match
xG against (Etar Veliko Tarnovo)
0.00
avg per match
xG against (Yantra 2019)
1.35
avg per match

Momentum trend

last 5 matches
Etar Veliko TarnovoEtar Veliko Tarnovo
W
Yantra 2019Yantra 2019
DLWD

Probability breakdown

37% confidence
Etar Veliko Tarnovo37%
Draw35%
Yantra 201928%

Etar Veliko Tarnovo leads with 37% — the model's highest-probability outcome for this fixture.

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Analysis

Etar Veliko Tarnovo Backed to Win — Model Projects 1-0

Etar Veliko Tarnovo host Yantra 2019 in Friendlies Clubs. Etar Veliko Tarnovo have recorded LLWWWW in recent matches while Yantra 2019 arrive with a run of LLWLDL.

Why GoalVio backs this

The xG model projects 2.24 for Etar Veliko Tarnovo and 0.67 for Yantra 2019. The gap of 1.57 is not large enough to decisively separate the sides — neither team is creating chances at a level that justifies a clear winner projection.

Biggest risk: null have won 4 of their last 10 matches — a run of form the model acknowledges but cannot fully override. If null carry that momentum into this fixture and score first, the upset probability rises significantly above what the headline verdict suggests.

Risk factors

  • Live conditions — weather, team news, and in-game momentum — can always override statistical projections.
  • The Poisson model works on averages — individual moments of quality can decide matches that data suggests should be close.

Recent form

Etar Veliko Tarnovo

Etar Veliko Tarnovo

W
vs Ludogorets II
15 May 2026
10
Yantra 2019

Yantra 2019

D
vs Fratria
10 Jul 2026
11
L
vs Spartak Pleven
7 Jul 2026
02
W
@ Dunav Ruse
15 May 2026
10
D
vs Vihren
11 May 2026
00

Frequently asked questions

Who will win Etar Veliko Tarnovo vs Yantra 2019?

GoalVio's model predicts Etar Veliko Tarnovo to win with 37% confidence.

What is the predicted score for Etar Veliko Tarnovo vs Yantra 2019?

The most likely scoreline according to GoalVio's Skellam-DC model is 1-0.

Will both teams score in Etar Veliko Tarnovo vs Yantra 2019?

GoalVio's model predicts BTTS: No — at least one team is expected to keep a clean sheet.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Etar Veliko Tarnovo vs Yantra 2019?

GoalVio's model predicts Over 2.5 Goals: No — fewer than 3 goals are expected.

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About this prediction
GoalVio Prediction Engine v5 — updated dailyPowered by Poisson, xG and momentum modelsAccuracy last 30 days: 54%Last model update:
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