GGOALVIO

Bulgaria · First League · 7/17/2023, 5:45:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Slavia Sofia · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-1

Highconfidence

Etar Veliko Tarnovo are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (DLLWW), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Slavia Sofia are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WLLDW), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Slavia Sofia hold a 24.8-point power-rating edge (28.0 v 52.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 56.3% in the First League, while Slavia Sofia holds the strongest overall chance at 56% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 34% BTTS chance and 33% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Slavia Sofia

Probability

56.3%

Model confidence

56.3%

Slavia Sofia has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Etar Veliko TarnovoDLLWW

GF 6 · GA 9 · avg 1.20/1.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Slavia SofiaWLLDW

GF 9 · GA 9 · avg 1.80/1.80

BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
Etar Veliko TarnovoSlavia Sofia
21.0Attack33.3
37.1Defence83.3
16.2Form41.7
28.0Power52.8
0.55xG1.49
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