Etar Veliko Tarnovovs
CSKA Sofia II
COMPLETEDBulgaria · Second League · 9/6/2026, 4:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
CSKA Sofia II · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (12%), 1-2 (10%), 0-2 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Etar Veliko Tarnovo 1-0 CSKA Sofia II
Original prediction
CSKA Sofia II
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 28 August 2026 at 00:02 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.95 | 46.1% | 33.0% | -13.2 pts |
| Draw | 3.55 | 25.3% | 24.0% | -1.3 pts |
| Away | 3.14 | 28.6% | 43.0% | 14.5 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
14.5 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–112%
- 2.1–210%
- 3.0–27%
Predicted outcome
CSKA Sofia II
Probability
43.0%
Model confidence
43.0%
CSKA Sofia II has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 9 · avg 1.20/1.80
GF 11 · GA 6 · avg 2.20/1.20